Luchamos Organizados » Claves electorales en Valparaíso y Viña del Mar.

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Claves electorales en Valparaíso y Viña del Mar.		Octubre 18th, 2008\| por admin\|
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deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Agosto 2007 (2) Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Julio 2007 (5) Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Junio 2007 (9) Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Mayo 2007 (6) Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Abril 2007 (1) Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Junio 2006 (4) Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Diciembre 1969 (3) Ayuda a la CES Mantengamos este blog actualizado, con noticias pinguinas de todas partes. Solo debes hacer click en la cabecera de la pagina, alli donde dice "registrarse" y de esa manera podrás editar y publicar en nuestro blog de forma directa e inmediata. Categorías Warning: Creating default object from empty value in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/classes.php on line 403 Artículos de Opinion Citatorias Correo de la CES De otras partes Destacados-a Destacados-b Imagen Memoria Noticias Portada Vida Social Warning: Creating default object from empty value in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/classes.php on line 403 Archivo Legal Publicidad Petitorio Vigente Somos Visitas: Detalle
Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/formatting.php on line 74 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/formatting.php on line 81 Por Jorge Montecino* Entrevista realizada a Jorge Montecino, Director Ejecutivo de Observa, reproducida en parte por el diario El Mercurio de Valparaíso, el día sábado 18 de octubre del año 2008. ¿Importancia de las Comunas de Valparaíso y Viña del Mar en las próximas elecciones municipales? Son comunas emblemáticas por su alto porcentajes de votantes y además, se han transformado en espacios políticos simbólicos. Valparaíso para La Concertación, que busca la continuidad y Viña del Mar para la Alianza por Chile, en la idea de un cambio político en el país. Lo que ocurra en estas comunas tendrá un impacto directo en la carrera presidencial. ¿Quién gana la Alcaldía en Viña del Mar? Virginia Reginato, será la próxima autoridad municipal. Logró articular un discurso empatito, acompañado con un potente mensaje comunicacional, que busca unir dos conceptos: Ciudad Bella y segura. Ello impacta sobre dos tipos de votantes. Aquellos de mayores ingresos y que viven el sectores residenciales de la ciudad y además, otorga sentido para los que viven en los cerros, que necesitan escuchar un mensaje esperanzador. ¿Es el tiempo de Virginia Reginato? Desde el punto de vista electoral, es el tiempo de Virginia Reginato, por que ella fue postergada por otras figuras políticas en las elecciones del año 1992, 1996 y 2000. Incluso su mayor votación fue en él año 1994, alcanzando sólo el 2,47 %. Sin embargo, con la separación de elección a Alcaldes y Concejales, Virginia Reginato, tiene su oportunidad, luego de tres periodos de Concejal logrando derrotar a Jorge Kaplan. ¿Qué ocurre con Juan Arriagada? Obtendrá una votación significativa, incluido el pacto por omisión con el Partido Comunista. Sin embargo, no logrará el sillón municipal. Desde el 1992 que obtuvo un 11,76 %, declinó su votación y sus posibilidades de liderazgo. Está elección no es la suya. Tiene al frente a una Virginia Reginato, en toda su plenitud electoral. ¿Quién gana la Alcaldía en Valparaíso? Ciertamente Aldo Cornejo, a pesar del impacto de Jorge Castro. La ventaja podrá ser reducida, pero suficiente para lograr la re-elección. ¿Qué papel juega el voto transferible de Hernán Pinto en esta elección? La estrecha disputa por el sillón de Valparaíso, entre Aldo Cornejo y Jorge Castro, tiene mucho que ver con la votación histórica del ex Alcalde Hernán Pinto. Hasta el año 2000, el ex alcalde, acumuló un potencial electoral significativo, sobre el 40 % de los votos. Sin embargo, Aldo Cornejo, al parecer se distancia de la figura de Hernán Pinto y ello provoca que la transferencia del voto, tenga dificultades y no sea totalmente capitalizado. Por otra parte, el discurso y la acción “populista” de Pinto, fue instrumentada en un buen porcentaje por Jorge Castro, que homologando su discurso y forma de llegar a la gente, sobre todo al votante de los cerros, logra poner en aprieto a Aldo Cornejo, en esta elección. Incluso Jorge Castro, dirige su discurso a un tipo de votante muy particular: mujeres, con edad entre 35 y 50 años, que mayoritariamente votaban por Hernán Pinto, en sectores y cerros muy determinados. ¿En dicho escenario qué pasará con Jorge Castro? El candidato de la UDI, busca posesionarse en su partido y en la Alianza Por Chile, para escenarios electorales futuros. Un esfuerzo de esta naturaleza le significará instalarse como figura emergente y candidato disponible para la elección de diputados. (*) Cientista Político y analista electoral. Director Ejecutivo de OBSERVA. Observatorio de la Realidad Ciudadana. Universidad Arcis Valparaíso. http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http://www.uarcisvalpo.cl ——————– Observatorio ha compartido un enlace contigo. Para verlo o responder a este mensaje, ve al siguiente enlace: http://www.facebook.com/n/?inbox/readmessage.php&t=1057976846737
Recent Entries Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Taller de pensamiento critico Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 ACEUS Santiago se pliega a las protestas Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Taller de Pensamiento Critico Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 CESQ arraund de gurodl Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 DECLARACION PUBLICA SOBRE ESTUDIANTES DE ANTROPOLOGIA DE TEMUCO Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Por fin, en Quilpué, una actividad para pinguinos Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 …Avanzando desde la discusión fraterna a la organización estudiantil y popular… Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Hum… buen sobrenombre para otra beata acá en Chile… Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 510 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 511 Rebelion.org: Gran Joda en Italia (II) Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /investici.org/cesq/html-cesq/wp-includes/kses.php on line 446 Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is 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